Democrats Panicking Over Polls?
posted by Fred Mangels @ 12:03 PM
11 comments
Fred's Humboldt Blog
I'm a Libertarian living in Humboldt County, CA. I've lived here in Eureka since 1973 and joined the Libertarian Party in 1992. This blog will mostly focus on local political issues, but I may stray into state and national issues as well, when I can't help myself. Please post your comments by clicking on the "comments" link at the bottom of each post. Although I do moderate comments, you need not be a registered user to post them.
Monday, July 25, 2016
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11 Comments:
Way too early to worry about polls.
Right now the interesting topic for me is Trump's Russia connections and the influence Putin may have with him.
This such an incredible switch. Only months ago one could find people on the right accusing Democrats of being in bed with communism. And now the Republican candidate looks to have been sleeping in a Moscow provided bed all along.
Interesting spinning and tap-dancing to come. Wonder how the stuff known now will hold up and what new stuff will surface.
Could we end up with a US President who is personally in debt to Russians, Russians close to Tzar Putin?
Too early? Try too late. Polling showed consistently from the start of the campaign that Clinton was near or below Trump among likely voters. AND, Sanders beat both Clinton and Trump in a 2-way or 3-way race among likely voters (all voters, not just Democrats). You rarely saw that last piece of poll data in the mainstream media though. They conveniently omitted it, even though Sanders was included in most of the national polls publicized in the mainstream media.
Clinton polls as the least trustworthy candidate of the three.
It is why Bernie supporters are less than thrilled he endorsed Clinton.
Not really. Clinton has had a lead all along. Trump got a convention bounce, which is common.
Take out the Rasmussen polls to date and Clinton has had a large lead.
Rasmussen, over multiple election cycles, polls very heavily in favor of the Republican candidate until right before the election and then over their last few polls moves closer to the overall mean of all polls. Finishing in the pack with the other pollsters allows Rasmussen to claim that it isn't biased. At this point in the campaign Rasmussen is furnishing a favorable number that Republican advocates can use as a talking point.
Here are the latest polls
YouGov/Economist Clinton +2
CBS Trump +1
CNN Trump +3
Morning Consult Trump +4
Gravis Trump +4
ARG Clinton +1
Ipsos Clinton +4
Rasmussen Trump +1
GQR Clinton +3
That's 10/13 and includes whatever convention bounce Trump received. It's the first time Trump has been in the lead since polling began.
Let's check back in a week or so after the Democratic convention is over and things have settled back down.
Agreed.
"Clinton polls as the least trustworthy candidate of the three."
Fred, how about putting up a chart that shows an objective analysis of truthfulness?
https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/mormonliberals/pages/703/attachments/original/1468809038/Who_Lies_More.png?1468809038
We're facing a binary choice. Stein or none of the other minority candidates have no chance of being elected. We either have a President Clinton or a President Trump next January. You either vote against a disaster or you support Trump.
Most polling having to do with a three way race has predominately shown Bernie as the strongest candidate.
Polls and stats are like car heater, it deoends on which buttons are pushed or pulled, what vents are open or shut, what setting the knobs are on, is it outside fresh air or recirculated, is it heat or air conditioning, etc....
Polls are strategically crafted to implant inaccurate data based on the smallest of polled audiences/respondents/ those polled.
Gary Johnson?
Jill Stein is a green party member? The green party is not gonna get jack accomplished because its a party of unbalanced reality.
Gary Johnson?
Jill Stein is a green party member? The green party is not gonna get jack accomplished because its a party of unbalanced reality.
Most polling having to do with a three way race has predominately shown Bernie as the strongest candidate.
Polls and stats are like car heater, it deoends on which buttons are pushed or pulled, what vents are open or shut, what setting the knobs are on, is it outside fresh air or recirculated, is it heat or air conditioning, etc....
Polls are strategically crafted to implant inaccurate data based on the smallest of polled audiences/respondents/ those polled.
Agreed.
4 liberal parties running against 1 constitution party. The cards are stacked. The LP is hellbent on destroying the R & D, so they can be the new 1 party system with their globalist & D nominees. All 4 of those libs get national coverage, the CP zero. The masses are as blind & deaf as they appear.
I saw a chart on FB that lists the 4 parties stances on issues. The Constitutional Party's candidate, Darrell Castle, is the only party that scored liberty through every issue.
The LP slanders them.
The Conservatives slander them.
The Dems slander them.
The Greens slander them
The Republicans slander them.
All of which is refuted easily.
But the monkey's that listen to the shills & trolls are deeply hypnotised with the monkey no see, hear or think.
That, my friends, is politics as usual.
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